Sunday, September 18, 2005

Fall 2005 Begins Tomorrow, SitcomsOnline.com Previews What We Think the Ratings Winners Will Be

After a long summer which saw a lot of repeats and few new shows such as Dancing with the Stars, the fall line-up officially starts tomorrow night with shows such as the sitcom Out of Practice. So as we have no idea what rookies will do well in the ratings yet, it should be fun determining which will do well. Personally, I think the ABC drama Invasion will be the highest rated new series, Everybody Hates Chris will probably break UPN records, and a few others could potentially do well. So, let's try to analyze the overall timeslot leader and the adults 18-49 slot leader for each hour.

SUNDAYS
7:00PM -
Overall: 60 Minutes (CBS)
18-49: America's Funniest Home Videos (ABC)
My Analysis: While NFL Overrun on FOX and/or CBS will probably dominate this slot until the end of December, look for these two winners if the NFL game doesn't go over the limit.
8:00PM -
Overall: Cold Case (CBS) and Extreme Makeover: Home Edition (ABC)
18-49: Extreme Makeover: Home Edition (ABC)
My Analysis: Extreme Makeover: Home Edition will sometimes beat Cold Case in overall ratings, but look for the family reality series to score big in adults 18-49.
9:00PM -
Overall: Desperate Housewives (ABC)
18-49: Desperate Housewives (ABC)
My Analysis: Total domination from those Housewives. I think the ratings will be even bigger than last season--watch out CSI! Law & Order: CI and Family Guy will be a distant second place in total viewers and adults 18-49.
10:00PM -
Overall: Grey's Anatomy (ABC)
18-49: Grey's Anatomy (ABC)
My Analysis: Another dominating hour for ABC. Grey can hold much of DH's audience, expect 75% at least.
Easy and big win for ABC for the night. CBS and NBC will battle for second.

MONDAYS
8:00PM -
Overall: The King of Queens/How I Met Your Mother (CBS)
18-49: The King of Queens/How I Met Your Mother (CBS)
My Analysis: King of Queens is back on Monday joining newcomer How I Met Your Mother, who got a great review from us. Should be an easy win for CBS in the hour. Surface will die fast for NBC and no matter where FOX's Arrested Development will air, it won't be a hit ratings wise. 7th Heaven could even be second place in adults 18-49.
9:00PM -
Overall: Two and a Half Men (CBS)/Monday Night Football (ABC)
18-49: Monday Night Football (ABC)
My Analysis: It should be interesting how much of a drop, if any, will Two and a Half Men will have from last season's time slot occupant--Everybody Loves Raymond. I think it won't be too bad, but Out of Practice should drop a bit and below last season's average for Men for sure, so that is why I think MNF will either tie or even win the hour overall and for sure win in adults 18-49, especially tomorrow with the emotional game involving the New Orleans Saints.
10:00PM -
Overall: CSI: Miami (CBS)
18-49: CSI: Miami (CBS)
My Analysis: Miami will score well and will build on the sitcom hour, like it did last season. MNF will stay consistent or drop a bit from the 9 p.m. hour.
CBS and ABC will do very well on Mondays. NBC will do average with Las Vegas and Medium, Surface will probably score even below last year's fading Fear Factor.

TUESDAYS:
8:00PM -
Overall: Navy NCIS (CBS)
18-49: According to Jim (ABC)/Bones (FOX)
My Analysis: Easy win for Navy NCIS overall. It all depends on how Bones will do in its second airing, if it drops big, then I'd think According to Jim and Rodney could win the slot in viewers 18-49. Rodney has shown that it could hold most of Jim's audience.
9:00PM -
Overall: House, M.D. (FOX)
18-49: House, M.D. (FOX)
My Analysis: I'm still not going to totally confirm a sweep for House, until I see how it does this week against some tough competition in the season finale of Big Brother 6 and the much anticipated Dancing with the Stars: Dance-Off. The sleeper hit of the hour could be ABC's new series Commander in Chief which premieres a week from Tuesday. Watch out for that one House! NBC has seen great reviews for their ONLY new sitcom for the fall My Name is Earl, but it will be lost in the tough hour and will be dead on arrival, or somewhere close to that. Will NBC do what FOX has done with Arrested Development? I don't think so, NBC needs a hit FAST, especially in the comedy department.
10:00PM -
Overall: Law & Order: Special Victims Unit (NBC)
18-49: Law & Order: Special Victims Unit (NBC)
My Analysis: SVU will now be the highest rated L&O series this season. It should give NBC a big boost for their Tuesday average. What was CBS thinking canceling Judging Amy for new series Close to Home? Now just for that ABC's relocated Boston Legal should be second place in both measures.
CBS or FOX will probably win the night with ABC a wildcard since Chief could be a big hit. NBC will stay the same as last season or do even worse on Tuesdays.

WEDNESDAYS
8:00PM -
Overall: The Apprentice: Martha Stewart (NBC)
18-49: The Apprentice: Martha Stewart (NBC)
My Analysis: This should be a bunched up hour. Martha will not be a big hit and will not dominate but it will win the hour by a few points only in both measures. George Lopez/Freddie could have the Lost halo effect and win the hour in adults 18-49 even. ABC has scheduled a Lost special for this Wednesday, so let's see how Martha can handle it. CBS's Yes, Dear will probably build on Still Standing.
9:00PM -
Overall: Lost (ABC)
18-49: Lost (ABC)
My Analysis: Lost is the clear winner and now airing in a later time-slot, will even attract more viewers. The real question is, who will be second place? Will it be E-Ring or Criminal Minds? Both are rookies and will battle for second. UPN's Veronica Mars is also airing in this hour now.
10:00PM -
Overall: Invasion (ABC)
18-49: Invasion (ABC)
My Analysis: Last season we finally saw that the long running hit Law & Order could be dethroned. CSI: NY is no CSI or CSI: Miami and will probably tumble a bit this season due to ABC's newest series Invasion. All three series in the slot will battle, but I think Invasion, with the Lost lead-in, has the best chance of winning the hour. And the fact that the series is very entertaining. This is probably the best hour in terms of competition. Even more than 9 p.m.
Again ABC is the network to beat on Wednesdays. CBS and NBC will battle for second and it all depends on which rookies will do better in the 9 p.m. hour. Remember, I'm not even looking at mid-season when that little show called American Idol is in the picture.

THURSDAYS
8:00PM -
Overall: Survivor (CBS)
18-49: Survivor (CBS)
My Analysis: This is another bunched up hour. Survivor will win the hour but not as big as last season. Joey and Will & Grace are going to do worse than last season, if that is even possible. Look out for UPN's Everybody Hates Chris--can it beat NBC?? Alias & Smallville could steal a lot of The O.C.'s young audience, leaving a big dent to that show. This should be an interesting hour indeed.
9:00PM -
Overall: CSI (CBS)
18-49: CSI (CBS)
My Analysis: No stopping CSI. The only question is if CSI can beat ABC's Sunday sensation DH for overall lead for the fall? The Apprentice should be on par from last season and be second place. The Night Stalker and Reunion will battle for third.
10:00PM -
Overall: Without a Trace (CBS)
18-49: Without a Trace (CBS)
My Analysis: Trace wins the hour in both measures over NBC's aging ER.
CBS will win the night by big. NBC will do worse than last season. ABC will improve Thursdays and FOX will do better 9 p.m. Can UPN hold most of Chris' audience for the rest of the night?

FRIDAYS
8:00PM -
Overall: Dateline (NBC)
18-49: Supernanny (ABC)
My Analysis: Die Ghost Whisperer, die! That's for CBS since they canceled Joan of Arcadia! This boring hour goes to Dateline overall and Supernanny in adults 18-49. Twins on The WB will not be a ratings smash, but that's what I'll have on at 8:30.
9:00PM -
Overall: Big question mark.
18-49: Big question mark.
My Analysis: This is too close to call. CBS should be disappointed for Threshold's premiere numbers this past Friday. NBC's Three Wishes could actually win this hour, if that sounds crazy. Or it could even go to Hope & Faith and Hot Properties. Both should do well with women. What do I think will happen? Probably NBC overall and ABC in adults. CBS should have kept JAG or better yet move Joan of Arcadia to this slot.
10:00PM -
Overall: NUMB3RS (CBS)
18-49: 20/20 (ABC)
My Analysis: NUMB3RS and 20/20 will battle for this slot in both adults and total viewers. Inconceivable will die. NBC was better off with the fourth Law & Order.
NBC or CBS could take the night overall and ABC will or could take 18-49.

SATURDAYS
Read a book or watch DVDs.
ABC will start off with repeats of Lost, Invasion and Commander in Chief then will probably move on to movies and The Wonderful World of Disney.
NBC will air movies. FOX will air their usual Cops and America's Most Wanted. And CBS will go with crime drama repeats and 48 Hours. So it is anyone's night.
Whatever happened to actual first run programming on Saturdays? Remember The Golden Girls was so high rated on this night?

We hope you enjoyed this feature and will enjoy the fall line-up, too. Don't forget the Emmy Awards tonight at 8 p.m. on CBS.


Sitcoms Airing Tonight

Saturday, February 17

The Middle - "The Setup" (ABC, 8:00PM ET/PT) (Repeat)
Frankie is tasked with being at her mom Pat’s (Marsha Mason) beck and call when she has to stay for a few days at the Heck house after coming down with an ailment. Meanwhile, just when it looks like Sean is about to ask Sue out on a date, Sue nervously blurts out that maybe they should both try to set each other up on a date with one of their friends; and Axl and Brick ponder what it is exactly that Mike does at the quarry.

The Middle - "Eyes Wide Open" (ABC, 8:30PM ET/PT) (Repeat)
Axl heads to Chicago to visit Hutch for the weekend but discovers that his friend, who has his own apartment and a job, is now acting more like a responsible adult than the free-spirited college student he once knew. Meanwhile, Sue’s excitement over having the apartment to herself over the weekend turns to horror when she is unable to sleep after watching “Silence of the Lambs”; and Brick enlists Frankie and Mike’s aid to help convince Lilah, a new student who doesn’t know anyone at school yet, that she and Brick would make a cute couple.

black-ish - "Please Don't Feed the Animals" (ABC, 9:00PM ET/PT) (Repeat)
Bow keeps in touch with Dre’s incarcerated godbrother, Omar, but when they find out he is being released from prison, Omar’s future sparks debate. Meanwhile, Ruby lets it slip to the kids that she’s been to jail and they push her to tell them more secrets from her past.

black-ish - "Charity Case" (ABC, 9:30PM ET/PT) (Repeat)
Dre is chosen to lead Stevens & Lido’s new charity campaign which helps people give back to their community. When Bow advises Dre that there is more to giving back than cutting checks, he decides to donate some of his clothes to a man in need. Meanwhile, Junior fails his driving test, so Ruby offers to chaperone a trip with him and the twins on an informative outing.

The Thundermans - "Rhythm n' Shoes " (Nickelodeon, 8:00PM ET/PT)
Determined to meet a famous pop singer visiting Hiddenville High, Phoebe and Max devise elaborate schemes to insert themselves into her performance that quickly lead to disastrous results.

Nicky, Ricky, Dicky & Dawn - "The Harper Quad-Jobbers" (Nickelodeon, 8:30PM ET/PT)
The quads try to earn money for a pool so that their house can be the place everyone wants to hang out at during the summer.

Complete TV Listings


Sitcom Stars on Talk Shows (Week of February 12)

Friday, February 16

  • Sam Rockwell (F Is for Family) - Watch Sam on a repeat of Jimmy Kimmel Live! at 11:35pm on ABC.
  • Laura Benanti (The Detour/Go On/Starved) - Laura appears on a repeat of The Late Show with Stephen Colbert at 11:35pm on CBS.
  • Tiffani Thiessen (Alexa & Katie/Good Morning, Miami/Saved by the Bell/Saved by the Bell: The College Years) - Tiffani chats on The Talk on CBS at 2pm ET/1pm CT-PT.
  • Holly Robinson Peete (Hangin' with Mr. Cooper/For Your Love) - Holly and her husband Rodney talk about the Hallmark Channel original series Meet the Peetes on Home & Family on Hallmark Channel at 10am ET/PT.
  • Becki Newton (Divorce/Weird Loners/The Goodwin Games/How I Met Your Mother) - Becki chats about Divorce on LIVE! with Kelly and Ryan, so check your listings.
  • Lori Loughlin (Fuller House/Hudson Street/Full House) - Lori appears on Good Day New York on WNYW-Fox5 in New York sometime between 7-10am.


New on DVD/Blu-ray (November/December/January)

The Wayans Bros. - The Complete Third Season Living Single - The Complete Third Season Alice - The Complete Sixth Season One Day at a Time - The Complete Series Fuller House - The Complete Second Season

11/07 - American Dad! - Volume 12
11/07 - Family Guy - Season Fifteen
11/07 - The Wayans Bros. - The Complete Third Season
11/14 - D.C. Follies - The Complete Series
11/21 - Living Single - The Complete Third Season
11/24 - Grandfathered - Season 1
12/05 - Alice - The Complete Sixth Season
12/05 - One Day at a Time - The Complete Series
12/05 - The Simpsons - The Eighteenth Season
12/05 - South Park - The Complete First Season (Blu-ray) / 2 / 3 / 4 / 5
12/12 - Fuller House - The Complete Second Season
12/19 - South Park - The Complete Sixth Season (Blu-ray) / 7 / 8 / 9 / 10 / 11
01/09 - Girlfriends - The Complete Series
More TV DVD Releases / DVD Reviews Archive / SitcomsOnline Digest