Sunday, September 18, 2005

Fall 2005 Begins Tomorrow, SitcomsOnline.com Previews What We Think the Ratings Winners Will Be

After a long summer which saw a lot of repeats and few new shows such as Dancing with the Stars, the fall line-up officially starts tomorrow night with shows such as the sitcom Out of Practice. So as we have no idea what rookies will do well in the ratings yet, it should be fun determining which will do well. Personally, I think the ABC drama Invasion will be the highest rated new series, Everybody Hates Chris will probably break UPN records, and a few others could potentially do well. So, let's try to analyze the overall timeslot leader and the adults 18-49 slot leader for each hour.

SUNDAYS
7:00PM -
Overall: 60 Minutes (CBS)
18-49: America's Funniest Home Videos (ABC)
My Analysis: While NFL Overrun on FOX and/or CBS will probably dominate this slot until the end of December, look for these two winners if the NFL game doesn't go over the limit.
8:00PM -
Overall: Cold Case (CBS) and Extreme Makeover: Home Edition (ABC)
18-49: Extreme Makeover: Home Edition (ABC)
My Analysis: Extreme Makeover: Home Edition will sometimes beat Cold Case in overall ratings, but look for the family reality series to score big in adults 18-49.
9:00PM -
Overall: Desperate Housewives (ABC)
18-49: Desperate Housewives (ABC)
My Analysis: Total domination from those Housewives. I think the ratings will be even bigger than last season--watch out CSI! Law & Order: CI and Family Guy will be a distant second place in total viewers and adults 18-49.
10:00PM -
Overall: Grey's Anatomy (ABC)
18-49: Grey's Anatomy (ABC)
My Analysis: Another dominating hour for ABC. Grey can hold much of DH's audience, expect 75% at least.
Easy and big win for ABC for the night. CBS and NBC will battle for second.

MONDAYS
8:00PM -
Overall: The King of Queens/How I Met Your Mother (CBS)
18-49: The King of Queens/How I Met Your Mother (CBS)
My Analysis: King of Queens is back on Monday joining newcomer How I Met Your Mother, who got a great review from us. Should be an easy win for CBS in the hour. Surface will die fast for NBC and no matter where FOX's Arrested Development will air, it won't be a hit ratings wise. 7th Heaven could even be second place in adults 18-49.
9:00PM -
Overall: Two and a Half Men (CBS)/Monday Night Football (ABC)
18-49: Monday Night Football (ABC)
My Analysis: It should be interesting how much of a drop, if any, will Two and a Half Men will have from last season's time slot occupant--Everybody Loves Raymond. I think it won't be too bad, but Out of Practice should drop a bit and below last season's average for Men for sure, so that is why I think MNF will either tie or even win the hour overall and for sure win in adults 18-49, especially tomorrow with the emotional game involving the New Orleans Saints.
10:00PM -
Overall: CSI: Miami (CBS)
18-49: CSI: Miami (CBS)
My Analysis: Miami will score well and will build on the sitcom hour, like it did last season. MNF will stay consistent or drop a bit from the 9 p.m. hour.
CBS and ABC will do very well on Mondays. NBC will do average with Las Vegas and Medium, Surface will probably score even below last year's fading Fear Factor.

TUESDAYS:
8:00PM -
Overall: Navy NCIS (CBS)
18-49: According to Jim (ABC)/Bones (FOX)
My Analysis: Easy win for Navy NCIS overall. It all depends on how Bones will do in its second airing, if it drops big, then I'd think According to Jim and Rodney could win the slot in viewers 18-49. Rodney has shown that it could hold most of Jim's audience.
9:00PM -
Overall: House, M.D. (FOX)
18-49: House, M.D. (FOX)
My Analysis: I'm still not going to totally confirm a sweep for House, until I see how it does this week against some tough competition in the season finale of Big Brother 6 and the much anticipated Dancing with the Stars: Dance-Off. The sleeper hit of the hour could be ABC's new series Commander in Chief which premieres a week from Tuesday. Watch out for that one House! NBC has seen great reviews for their ONLY new sitcom for the fall My Name is Earl, but it will be lost in the tough hour and will be dead on arrival, or somewhere close to that. Will NBC do what FOX has done with Arrested Development? I don't think so, NBC needs a hit FAST, especially in the comedy department.
10:00PM -
Overall: Law & Order: Special Victims Unit (NBC)
18-49: Law & Order: Special Victims Unit (NBC)
My Analysis: SVU will now be the highest rated L&O series this season. It should give NBC a big boost for their Tuesday average. What was CBS thinking canceling Judging Amy for new series Close to Home? Now just for that ABC's relocated Boston Legal should be second place in both measures.
CBS or FOX will probably win the night with ABC a wildcard since Chief could be a big hit. NBC will stay the same as last season or do even worse on Tuesdays.

WEDNESDAYS
8:00PM -
Overall: The Apprentice: Martha Stewart (NBC)
18-49: The Apprentice: Martha Stewart (NBC)
My Analysis: This should be a bunched up hour. Martha will not be a big hit and will not dominate but it will win the hour by a few points only in both measures. George Lopez/Freddie could have the Lost halo effect and win the hour in adults 18-49 even. ABC has scheduled a Lost special for this Wednesday, so let's see how Martha can handle it. CBS's Yes, Dear will probably build on Still Standing.
9:00PM -
Overall: Lost (ABC)
18-49: Lost (ABC)
My Analysis: Lost is the clear winner and now airing in a later time-slot, will even attract more viewers. The real question is, who will be second place? Will it be E-Ring or Criminal Minds? Both are rookies and will battle for second. UPN's Veronica Mars is also airing in this hour now.
10:00PM -
Overall: Invasion (ABC)
18-49: Invasion (ABC)
My Analysis: Last season we finally saw that the long running hit Law & Order could be dethroned. CSI: NY is no CSI or CSI: Miami and will probably tumble a bit this season due to ABC's newest series Invasion. All three series in the slot will battle, but I think Invasion, with the Lost lead-in, has the best chance of winning the hour. And the fact that the series is very entertaining. This is probably the best hour in terms of competition. Even more than 9 p.m.
Again ABC is the network to beat on Wednesdays. CBS and NBC will battle for second and it all depends on which rookies will do better in the 9 p.m. hour. Remember, I'm not even looking at mid-season when that little show called American Idol is in the picture.

THURSDAYS
8:00PM -
Overall: Survivor (CBS)
18-49: Survivor (CBS)
My Analysis: This is another bunched up hour. Survivor will win the hour but not as big as last season. Joey and Will & Grace are going to do worse than last season, if that is even possible. Look out for UPN's Everybody Hates Chris--can it beat NBC?? Alias & Smallville could steal a lot of The O.C.'s young audience, leaving a big dent to that show. This should be an interesting hour indeed.
9:00PM -
Overall: CSI (CBS)
18-49: CSI (CBS)
My Analysis: No stopping CSI. The only question is if CSI can beat ABC's Sunday sensation DH for overall lead for the fall? The Apprentice should be on par from last season and be second place. The Night Stalker and Reunion will battle for third.
10:00PM -
Overall: Without a Trace (CBS)
18-49: Without a Trace (CBS)
My Analysis: Trace wins the hour in both measures over NBC's aging ER.
CBS will win the night by big. NBC will do worse than last season. ABC will improve Thursdays and FOX will do better 9 p.m. Can UPN hold most of Chris' audience for the rest of the night?

FRIDAYS
8:00PM -
Overall: Dateline (NBC)
18-49: Supernanny (ABC)
My Analysis: Die Ghost Whisperer, die! That's for CBS since they canceled Joan of Arcadia! This boring hour goes to Dateline overall and Supernanny in adults 18-49. Twins on The WB will not be a ratings smash, but that's what I'll have on at 8:30.
9:00PM -
Overall: Big question mark.
18-49: Big question mark.
My Analysis: This is too close to call. CBS should be disappointed for Threshold's premiere numbers this past Friday. NBC's Three Wishes could actually win this hour, if that sounds crazy. Or it could even go to Hope & Faith and Hot Properties. Both should do well with women. What do I think will happen? Probably NBC overall and ABC in adults. CBS should have kept JAG or better yet move Joan of Arcadia to this slot.
10:00PM -
Overall: NUMB3RS (CBS)
18-49: 20/20 (ABC)
My Analysis: NUMB3RS and 20/20 will battle for this slot in both adults and total viewers. Inconceivable will die. NBC was better off with the fourth Law & Order.
NBC or CBS could take the night overall and ABC will or could take 18-49.

SATURDAYS
Read a book or watch DVDs.
ABC will start off with repeats of Lost, Invasion and Commander in Chief then will probably move on to movies and The Wonderful World of Disney.
NBC will air movies. FOX will air their usual Cops and America's Most Wanted. And CBS will go with crime drama repeats and 48 Hours. So it is anyone's night.
Whatever happened to actual first run programming on Saturdays? Remember The Golden Girls was so high rated on this night?

We hope you enjoyed this feature and will enjoy the fall line-up, too. Don't forget the Emmy Awards tonight at 8 p.m. on CBS.


New on DVD/Blu-ray (June/July/August)

Father Knows Best - Season Six Diff'rent Strokes - The Complete Sixth Season Alice - The Complete Fifth Season Rhoda - Season Four Brooklyn Nine-Nine - Season Four

06/13 - The Andy Griffith Show - Return to Mayberry
06/13 - That's My Mama - The Complete Series
06/20 - Workaholics - The Final (Seventh) Season
06/20 - Workaholics - The Complete Series
06/27 - The Jamie Foxx Show - The Complete Third Season
07/04 - Superstore - Season Two
07/18 - Father Knows Best - Season Six
07/25 - Diff'ernt Strokes - The Complete Sixth Season
07/25 - Girls - The Final (Sixth) Season (Blu-ray)
08/01 - Alice - The Complete Fifth Season (WBShop.com)
08/01 - Crashing - The Complete First Season (Blu-ray)
08/15 - Rhoda - Season Four
08/22 - Brooklyn Nine-Nine - Season Four
08/29 - Will & Grace - Season One (Universal)
More TV DVD Releases / DVD Reviews Archive / SitcomsOnline Digest


Sitcoms Airing Tonight

Monday, September 25

The Big Bang Theory - "The Proposal Proposal" (CBS, 8:00PM ET/PT)
Amy gives Sheldon an answer to his proposal while Howard and Bernadette struggle with some unexpected news. Laurie Metcalf returns as Sheldon’s mother, Mary; Riki Lindhome returns as Ramona; and Stephen Hawking returns as himself.

Young Sheldon - "Pilot" (CBS, 8:30PM ET/PT)
9-year-old Sheldon Cooper is a once-in-a-generation mind capable of advanced mathematics and science but learns that isn’t always helpful growing up in East Texas, a land where church and football are king.

Kevin Can Wait - "Civil Ceremony" (CBS, 9:00PM ET/PT)
Kendra and Chale must get married immediately when the Gables learn that he is about to be deported. As Kevin chases down Father Phillip (Jim Breuer) to officiate the ceremony, Vanessa helps Kendra put together the last-minute affair. Leah Remini joins the cast as Vanessa Cellucci, and Jim Breuer returns as Father Phillip.

Me, Myself & I - "Pilot" (CBS, 9:30PM ET/PT)
Bobby Moynihan, Jack Dylan Grazer and John Larroquette star as Alex Riley in a new comedy about the defining moments in one man’s life over three distinct periods – as a 14-year-old in 1991, at age 40 in present day and at 65 in 2042.

People of Earth - "Game Night" (TBS, 10:30PM ET/PT)
Gerry and Yvonne host a group game night; Agent Foster meets a person from her past; Walsh, Jeff, Don and Kurt enact their mutiny against Eric.

Complete TV Listings


Sitcom Stars on Talk Shows (Week of September 25)

Monday, September 25

  • Jim Parsons (The Big Bang Theory/Young Sheldon) - Watch Jim on Late Night with Seth Meyers at 12:36am on NBC. He will also be on CBS This Morning sometime between 7-9am.
  • Jeremy Piven (Entourage/Ellen/The Larry Sanders Show) - Jeremy visits The Late Late Show with James Corden at 12:37am on CBS.
  • America Ferrera (Superstore) - America appears on The Late Late Show with James Corden at 12:37am on CBS.
  • Kaley Cuoco (The Big Bang Theory/8 Simple Rules) - Kaley chats on The Talk on CBS at 2pm ET/1pm CT-PT.
  • Kristin Chenoweth (Kristin) - Kristin previews My Little Pony: The Movie on LIVE! with Kelly and Ryan, so check your listings. She will also be on NBC's Today in the 10am hour.
  • Jussie Smollett (On Our Own) - Jussie speaks about the series Empire on LIVE! with Kelly and Ryan, so check your listings. He will also be on the AOL Build Show at 6pm.
  • Candace Cameron Bure, Jodie Sweetin and Andrea Barber (Fuller House/Full House) - Candace, Jodie and Andrea are guests on Harry, so check your local listings.
  • RonReaco Lee (Survivor's Remorse/Let's Stay Together/Sister, Sister) - RonReaco drops by The Real, so check your local listings.
  • Melissa Fumero and Stephanie Beatriz (Brooklyn Nine-Nine) - Melissa and Stephanie are guests on Steve, so check your local listings.
  • Zoe Perry (Young Sheldon) - Zoe opens up about the premiere of her new show Young Sheldon on People Now at 8:30am.
  • Anne Heche (The Michael J. Fox Show/Save Me) and Mike Vogel (Grounded for Life) - Anne and Mike talk about The Brave on NBC's Today in the 10am hour and on New York Live on WNBC in New York at 11:30am ET. The will also be on the AOL Build Show at 1pm.
  • Iain Armitage (Young Sheldon) - Iain is a guest on CBS This Morning sometime between 7-9am.
  • Kristin Bell (The Good Place) - Kristin makes Carly's Spinach Pesto on ABC's The Chew at 1pm ET/12pm PT/CT.
  • The Cast of Will & Grace - Eric McCormack, Debra Messing, Megan Mullally and Sean Hayes are guests on NBC's Today sometime between 7-9am and in the 10am hour.
  • Damon Wayans (My Wife and Kids) - Damon appears on Access Hollywood Live, so check your local listings.
  • Paulo Costanzo (Joey) - Paulo talks about Designated Survivor on the AOL Build Show at 11:15am.
  • Josh Gad (1600 Penn/Back to You) - Josh is a guest on the AOL Build Show at 3:30pm.